Recent Posts

xG Matchup Rankings GW 4 2018

With unlimited transfers, match ups are more important than ever. So how do you evaluate match ups? Especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? The expected goal (xG) rankings! What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot has probability of scoring based on the position on the …

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MLSFI S4: Round 4 Preview

Reid, Mike, Blayne and Parker sit down to talk about some of the most exciting and fantasy relevant evens from Round 3 and preview the few games being played over the Round 4 international break. Everyone get into the reddit questions this week and they have a long discussion about Prices Changes, the impacts of Rolling Transfers, and Mike’s system …

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Best XI 2018 Round 3

Fantasy MLS is back in 2018 and so is our Best XI Predictions. In this segment, we attempt to discern the best Starting XI possible for MLS Fantasy within a few constraints. We’ll only be using a $100m cap this season, or two seasons with Spring and Fall. The new “autoroo” will be used frequently as well to give us …

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2018 Round 3 Captain’s conundrum

Round 3 in the MLS gets underway tomorrow, So I have taken a look at the best options to make your Fantasy captain this week. Picking the right captain this week , could see you claw back points on the leaders of your league , or even extend the gap at the top. Here’s my top four picks for this …

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xG Matchup Rankings GW 3 2018

With unlimited transfers, match ups are more important than ever. So how do you evaluate match ups? Especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? The expected goal (xG) rankings! What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot has probability of scoring based on the position on the …

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Best XI 2018 – Round 2

Fantasy MLS is back in 2018 and so is our Best XI Predictions. In this segment, we attempt to discern the best Starting XI possible for MLS Fantasy within a few constraints. We’ll only be using a $100m cap this season, or two seasons with Spring and Fall. The new “autoroo” will be used frequently as well to give us …

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Stats Summary: 2018 Price Change Matrix v1

Week 1 is in the books (we think) after a couple… hiccups. I waded through the price changes and scores to get a best guess at how prices change this year. I don’t have an exact equation for it yet, but I created a best-guess matrix to help you project price changes while selecting your squad. We will have to …

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2018 Round 2 Captain’s conundrum

Round 2 in the MLS gets underway tomorrow, So I have taken a look at the best options to make your Fantasy captain this week. Picking the right captain this week , could see you claw back points on the leaders of your league , or even extend the gap at the top. Here’s my top four picks for this …

Read More »

2018 Round 2 Expected Points

Back for more statistics-based projections? Happy to oblige! Unfortunately, I did not have the resources to include 2018 Round 1 scores in the model, so we are still working with 2017 data, along with the assumptions I mentioned below regarding LAFC and all the players new to MLS. For each player in the table below, I’ve calculated expected goals & …

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2018 Round 2 Form Difficulty Charts

There are many different types of articles that can help fantasy managers prepare for each round. Player recommendations, injury updates, and captain polls always help, but MLSFB started with simple charts difficulty. Let’s get back to the basics. Here are the 2017 Round 33 Form Difficulty Charts for the MLS Fantasy season. These charts attempt to reduce bias by removing …

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2018 Round 2 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. Fortunately chess also allows for a draw and the ELO system is setup to …

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xG Matchup Rankings GW 2 2018

With unlimited transfers, match ups are more important than ever. So how do you evaluate match ups? Especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? The expected goal (xG) rankings! What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot has probability of scoring based on the position on the …

Read More »