Andrew Crollard

Andrew has worked as both an economist/data analyst and as a university and youth soccer coach. Naturally, marrying soccer and data together is a perfect fit.

Stats Summary: 2018 Price Change Matrix v1

Week 1 is in the books (we think) after a couple… hiccups. I waded through the price changes and scores to get a best guess at how prices change this year. I don’t have an exact equation for it yet, but I created a best-guess matrix to help you project price changes while selecting your squad. We will have to …

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2018 Fantasy Primer Seattle Sounders Preview

2017 Seattle Sounders Review It was more of the same from the Sounders. Same general tactics and just enough success to keep the fans placated. Lodeiro and Morris took a step backward and Roldan made a huge leap forward. Our signings were generally fantastic, as Bruin, Leerdam, and Svensson all played large roles over the course of the season. That …

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Stats Summary: Bonus Points Conceded

This week’s post is a quick one. The table below shows how many bonus points each team concedes. Overall DC concedes the most and SKC concedes the fewest bonus points. You can sort the columns by clicking on the arrows in the column header. This information should be used as a tie-breaker when deciding between two players.  If you think …

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Stats Summary: Expected Goals and Projections Week 9

If you listen to the MLSFI podcast, you’ve probably heard us talk about expected goals (xG). Basically, they’re a way to estimate the quality of chances a team creates and concedes in a game. The higher the probability of a shot being a goal, the higher the xG number awarded to it. You can get xG for teams, individual players, …

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Stats Summary: Points Per Start

MLS has a ridiculous schedule because they don’t respect the designated international breaks. As a result, we have teams who have played a different number of games. Now we have to try to compare players from teams who haven’t played the same number of games. The way to do this is to normalize it so we have directly comparable data. …

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Stats Summary – Transfer Strategy: When to Follow the Crowd

There’s a lot to consider when making your transfers for the week – current fixture, price, double game weeks, injuries, lineup rotation… Every week there are a couple players who rise to the top of the transfer list. I decided to look into these players to see how they performed compared to others in single game weeks. Note: this analysis …

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Draft analysis – Week 1 – Ceiling vs Consistency

MVP of the week – Adi, 16 points – Two goals in stoppage time saved him but Portland’s attack looks extremely dangerous and Adi should be in the running for golden boot. Bonus point monster of the week – Godoy, 7 bonus points – I don’t think 7 BP is sustainable, he earned 2 foul bonus and got significantly more …

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Stats Summary – Bonus Point Difference

  Week 1 is in the books and now the season-long game begins in earnest. One week is not enough of a sample size for us to say anything for sure, but we can look backwards to what players did last year to help us figure out if a player is for real. Let’s look at the difference between this …

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Draft Analysis – Average Draft Position

To mix things up this year, several of us at MLS Fantasy Boss decided to run three 10 players draft leagues on draftmls.com.  These three leagues included former FMLS champions, a couple other top 10 finishers, and many more top 100 regulars. It is one of the smartest collections of fantasy minds around. The table below contains the average draft ranks …

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Stats Summary – Finding Value at Keeper 2017

This is part four of the four-part series about finding the value for each position. This one focuses on finding value at keeper. Here’s links to the forward, midfielder, and defender articles. For those of you too lazy to read the last posts…. the important column in this table is the rightmost one labeled “Residuals”. The higher that number, the …

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