Stats Summary – Finding Value at Midfield 2017

Value at Midfield

 

This is the second of a four-post series focused on finding value in each position. To learn more about the methodology or look at the post about forwards, click here.

For those of you who can’t be bothered to read the last post (lazy bum!)…. the important column in this table is the rightmost one labeled “Residuals”. The higher that number, the better value a player is. On to finding value at midfield!

The Good Value at Midfield

Similar to the forwards, the expensive players are still worth their prices. There isn’t a lot separating Lodeiro, Piatti, Kaka, Kljestan, and Valeri and they will be in many many lineups. My boy Sean Davis leads the way in value and is set to start in the Red Bull midfield.

After the premium options, there’s a bunch of mid-tier guys who represent good value at midfielder. Unfortunately, there’s a lot of question marks around the playing time for guys like Polster, Neagle, Harrison, Hairston, Goosens, and Azira.

name2017 PriceteamstartsscoreppsvorpResiduals
Davis6.5NY12755.331.491.1
Lodeiro11SEA12998.254.410.97
Díaz10DAL241877.543.70.94
Piatti10MTL312347.523.680.91
Kaká10ORL221687.53.660.9
Kljestan10NY302257.433.590.83
Nyarko8DC211336.052.210.8
Valeri10POR302227.43.560.8
Polster5.5CHI221044.320.480.76
Harrison7.5NYC171005.651.810.74
Neagle7.5DC211505.621.780.71
Sarvas7DC251335.161.320.59
Hairston7COL13885.071.230.5
Goossens6.5CHI13764.690.850.46
Azira6.5COL271264.670.830.43
Johnson7ORL189551.160.43
Creavalle6PHI20914.30.460.41
Molino9.5MIN251816.642.80.38
B Garcia7HOU251314.921.080.35
Godoy7SJ221064.911.070.34
Larentowicz5.5ATL17723.880.040.33
Saied6.5MIN241144.540.70.31
Mezquida6.5VAN17874.530.690.3
Le Toux6.5DC211124.520.680.29
Cato6SJ15684.130.290.24
Fagundez7NE251294.760.920.19
Husidic6.5LA17914.410.570.18
Sam8.5DC261525.731.890.14
Feilhaber10SKC281896.712.870.11
Osorio7TOR271304.670.830.1
Lletget7.5LA231284.961.120.05
Alvarez7.5CHI221304.951.110.04
Muyl6.5NY18944.280.440.04
Alexander5.5HOU15603.6-0.240.04
Mulholland6.5RSL231104.260.420.03
Bradley9TOR241425.922.08-0.01
Accam9.5CHI201306.252.41-0.01
Alonso9.5SEA322006.252.41-0.01
Hollingshead6.5DAL21984.190.35-0.04
Acosta7DAL251174.520.68-0.05
Higuita6.5ORL17754.180.34-0.06
Roldan7SEA291344.480.64-0.09
Endoh6TOR15633.8-0.04-0.09
Donadel6.5MTL17744.120.28-0.12
Bolaños8.5VAN241345.461.62-0.13
Alberg7.5PHI131004.770.93-0.14
Alex7.5HOU281364.750.91-0.16
Clark6.5HOU291214.070.23-0.16
McCarty9CHI251465.761.92-0.16
Jeffrey5.5DC14583.36-0.48-0.2
McNamara7.5NYC271304.70.86-0.21
Jacobson6VAN19823.68-0.16-0.21
Cronin6.5COL3313240.16-0.23
Vincent5.5DC13503.31-0.53-0.25
Espinoza7SKC301294.30.46-0.27
Zemanski5.5POR11423.27-0.57-0.28
Perez Garcia7ORL19914.260.42-0.31
Laba7VAN311304.260.42-0.31
Carrasco6.5ORL22973.910.07-0.32
Carroll5.5PHI22763.23-0.61-0.33
Meram9.5CLB311855.92.06-0.36
Dawkins7.5SJ271244.520.68-0.39
Pontius8.5PHI321725.191.35-0.4
Nagbe8.5POR271405.191.35-0.4
Morales9DAL231405.521.68-0.4
Powers7.5COL241134.50.66-0.41
Delgado6.5TOR22953.82-0.02-0.42
Barrios8DAL291454.830.99-0.42
Ceren6.5ORL23933.74-0.1-0.49
Chara7POR291164.070.23-0.5
Rowe8.5NE311605.061.22-0.52
Grella8NY291404.720.88-0.52
Wenger7HOU231104.040.2-0.53
Trapp7CLB281164.040.2-0.54
Hurtado6.5VAN13633.69-0.15-0.54
Ulloa6.5DAL16803.69-0.15-0.55
Higuaín9.5CLB181055.671.83-0.6
DeLeon6DC271003.3-0.54-0.6
Sunny6.5RSL13493.62-0.22-0.62
Tchani7.5CLB20864.250.41-0.66
Acosta8.5DC251414.921.08-0.67
Peterson7.5ATL18884.220.38-0.69
Jimenez5.5CLB14492.86-0.98-0.7
Zusi8.5SKC17944.881.04-0.7
Beckerman7RSL26973.81-0.03-0.76
Nguyen9.5NE331815.481.64-0.78
Caldwell7NE311183.77-0.07-0.8
Alashe6.5SJ26893.38-0.46-0.85
Pirlo9NYC321625.061.22-0.86
Felipe9NY331675.061.22-0.86
Gruezo7DAL26943.58-0.26-0.99
Finlay9CLB261404.921.08-1
Warner6.5MIN23733.13-0.71-1.1
Bunbury6.5NE19733.11-0.73-1.13
Shipp7SEA20753.4-0.44-1.17
Ilsinho7.5PHI14663.71-0.13-1.2
Techera7.5VAN18863.67-0.17-1.24
Bernardello7MTL11363.27-0.57-1.3
Nocerino7ORL18522.72-1.12-1.85
Bernier7MTL14452.71-1.13-1.86
Shea7ORL22692.54-1.3-2.03

The Bad Value at Midfield

Alonso and Bradley are two interesting players, their ceiling is low but their floors are among the highest in the league. If I’m spending that kind of cash, I would rather search the couch cushions for some change and go for a high ceiling player. Several guys I’ve had on my watch list ended up in this range and can be fine picks based on matchups: MPG, Bolanos, Meram, Barrios, and L. Acosta.

Brek Shea The Ugly

Brek Shea is not good at soccer and he’s not a good fantasy pick. There are other guys that are good players in real life, but are priced too high. Avoid Pirlo, Chara, Nguyen, Gruezo, and the every-single-year-too-expensive Darlingon Nagbe. Ethan Finlay drops into the category, but I think he is usable in the right match up as he is a boom-or-bust player.

 

About Andrew Crollard

Andrew has worked as both an economist/data analyst and as a university and youth soccer coach. Naturally, marrying soccer and data together is a perfect fit.

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