Fantasy Stats

2017 Round 25 Expected Player Offensive Points

Every week, I’ll be publishing a list of top players ranked by expected offensive points. “Offensive points” includes expected shots, goals, assists, and key passes based on the weekly matchup(s) and past performance. It also includes the 2 points the player would receive for playing 60+ minutes. Sadly, offensive bonus points (except key passes) are not included at this time. Defensive bonus …

Read More »

2017 Week 25 xG Matchup Rankings

With unlimited transfers this season, match ups are more important than ever. The question is how to evaluate match ups, especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? Expected Goals (xG). What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot is awarded a probability of scoring based on the …

Read More »

2017 Round 25 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

Read More »

2017 Round 25 Form Difficulty Charts

There are many different types of articles that can help fantasy managers prepare for each round. Player recommendations, injury updates, and captain polls always help, but MLSFB started with simple charts difficulty. Let’s get back to the basics. Here are the 2017 Round 25 Form Difficulty Charts for the MLS Fantasy season. These charts attempt to reduce bias by removing …

Read More »

2017 Round 24 Expected Player Offensive Points

Every week, I’ll be publishing a list of top players ranked by expected offensive points. “Offensive points” includes expected shots, goals, assists, and key passes based on the weekly matchup(s) and past performance. It also includes the 2 points the player would receive for playing 60+ minutes. Sadly, offensive bonus points (except key passes) are not included at this time. Defensive bonus …

Read More »

2017 Week 24 xG Matchup Rankings

With unlimited transfers this season, match ups are more important than ever. The question is how to evaluate match ups, especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? Expected Goals (xG). What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot is awarded a probability of scoring based on the …

Read More »

2017 Round 24 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

Read More »

2017 Round 24 Form Difficulty Charts

There are many different types of articles that can help fantasy managers prepare for each round. Player recommendations, injury updates, and captain polls always help, but MLSFB started with simple charts difficulty. Let’s get back to the basics. Here are the 2017 Round 24 Form Difficulty Charts for the MLS Fantasy season. These charts attempt to reduce bias by removing …

Read More »

2017 Week 23 xG Matchup Rankings

With unlimited transfers this season, match ups are more important than ever. The question is how to evaluate match ups, especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? Expected Goals (xG). What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot is awarded a probability of scoring based on the …

Read More »

2017 Round 23 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

Read More »