Week 1 is in the books (we think) after a couple… hiccups. I waded through the price changes and scores to get a best guess at how prices change this year. I don’t have an exact equation for it yet, but I created a best-guess matrix to help you project price changes while selecting your squad. We will have to …
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Stats Summary: Bonus Points Conceded
This week’s post is a quick one. The table below shows how many bonus points each team concedes. Overall DC concedes the most and SKC concedes the fewest bonus points. You can sort the columns by clicking on the arrows in the column header. This information should be used as a tie-breaker when deciding between two players. If you think …
Read More »Stats Summary: Expected Goals and Projections Week 9
If you listen to the MLSFI podcast, you’ve probably heard us talk about expected goals (xG). Basically, they’re a way to estimate the quality of chances a team creates and concedes in a game. The higher the probability of a shot being a goal, the higher the xG number awarded to it. You can get xG for teams, individual players, …
Read More »Stats Summary: Points Per Start
MLS has a ridiculous schedule because they don’t respect the designated international breaks. As a result, we have teams who have played a different number of games. Now we have to try to compare players from teams who haven’t played the same number of games. The way to do this is to normalize it so we have directly comparable data. …
Read More »Stats Summary – Transfer Strategy: When to Follow the Crowd
There’s a lot to consider when making your transfers for the week – current fixture, price, double game weeks, injuries, lineup rotation… Every week there are a couple players who rise to the top of the transfer list. I decided to look into these players to see how they performed compared to others in single game weeks. Note: this analysis …
Read More »Stats Summary – Bonus Point Difference
Week 1 is in the books and now the season-long game begins in earnest. One week is not enough of a sample size for us to say anything for sure, but we can look backwards to what players did last year to help us figure out if a player is for real. Let’s look at the difference between this …
Read More »Stats Summary – Finding Value at Keeper 2017
This is part four of the four-part series about finding the value for each position. This one focuses on finding value at keeper. Here’s links to the forward, midfielder, and defender articles. For those of you too lazy to read the last posts…. the important column in this table is the rightmost one labeled “Residuals”. The higher that number, the …
Read More »Stats Summary – Finding Value at Defender 2017
This is part three of the four part series about finding the value for each position. This one focuses on finding defender value. Here’s links to the forward and midfielder articles. For those of you too lazy to read the last posts…. the important column in this table is the rightmost one labeled “Residuals”. The higher that number, the better …
Read More »Stats Summary – Finding Value at Midfield 2017
This is the second of a four-post series focused on finding value in each position. To learn more about the methodology or look at the post about forwards, click here. For those of you who can’t be bothered to read the last post (lazy bum!)…. the important column in this table is the rightmost one labeled “Residuals”. The higher …
Read More »Stats Summary – Finding Value at Forward 2017
Opening weekend challenge is just around the corner. This will be the first post in a 4-post series where we look at each position to try to find value players who are priced less than what last year’s production says they should be priced. Points Per Start Veterans of my Stats Summary articles will know that I’ve long been a …
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