If you’d like to see how my ELO system performed during the regular season, take a look my previous article here.
As for the knockout round, after four AMAZING games, I came away with a 100% prediction result. Not bad.
2015 Cup Semis Leg One Predictions
So how do things look for the Semis? Just like last round, all of the home teams continue to have an advantage, but their percentage to win is decreasing. During the knockouts, two teams had a 66% chance to win, but this week the highest is only 65%. Personally, I think the game most likely to result in an upset is DC vs NY. The Red Bulls have had more chance to rest and are looking to build on the energy that comes from a Supporter’s Shield win.
Regardless of what happens, today looks like it will be another great day of playoff games!