Recent Posts

2017 Cup Conf Finals Round 2 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

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2017 Cup Conf Finals Round 1 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

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MLSFI S3: 2017 Round Table Season Review

The 2017 Fantasy MLS season may be over, but there is still a lot to talk about. Reid is joined by Mike, Blayne, Tim, and top 10 finisher Alex Bruni to review all of the changes for the 2017 season and talk about what they hope changes for 2018. Reid and Mike also get a chance to interview Ben Baer …

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2017 Cup Semis Round 2 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

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2017 r/FantasyMLS Overall Fantasy MVP Results

For those who don’t get the chance to visit r/FantasyMLS often, OlderGoaler runs a poll twice a season to allow or community to vote for the MLS Fantasy MVP team. The first comes half way through the season for our mid-season MVP team and the final comes at the end of the year for our overall MVP team. Why should MLS get to have all …

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2017 Cup Semis Round 1 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

Read More »

2017 Cup Knockout Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

Read More »

MLSFI S3: Round 33 Review & Bracket Challenge Preview

Reid, Mike and Blayne say goodbye to the 2017 Fantasy season by going over some of the best moments from Round 33. MVP debate, emotional roller coasters, and all the shocking results are covered as well as a little venting from Mike about one of his private leagues. After that, the r/FantasyMLS MVP team is revealed and before they give …

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2017 Round 33 Expected Player Points

Every week, I’ll be publishing a list of top players ranked by expected offensive points. This week, I’m publishing a special edition of my projections which includes expected values for (almost)¹ all player points, not just offensive points!  This includes expected goals & assists, shots, expected clean sheets and negative points from goals against, bonus points, and even points differentiated by position (e.g., defender gets 6 …

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2017 Round 33 Captain Options and Poll

It’s captain poll time for Round 33! Don’t forget, the transfer deadline is, Sunday the 22th at 4:00pm EST so be sure to get all of your trades in and captain set by then. There are several good captain options for this round, have you decided on yours yet? To help you, check out to top options from the MLSFB and MLSFI crew below. Also, …

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2017 Round 33 Predictions and Power Rankings

predictions

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. It’s a good system, but soccer is not chess because soccer can end in a draw. I’m using a modified formula that tries to predict the chance that a team …

Read More »

2017 Week 33 xG Matchup Rankings

With unlimited transfers this season, match ups are more important than ever. The question is how to evaluate match ups, especially if you’re only an aspiring Armchair Analyst and not yet the real thing. The answer? Expected Goals (xG). What are expected goals (xG) The idea behind xG is simple. Every shot is awarded a probability of scoring based on the …

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