Tag Archives: ELO

Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 1

  Near the end of the 2013 MLS season, I came across some information about the ELO ranking system. Basically, there is a formula that is used to try to predict the winner of a match. Since soccer can end in a draw, I’m using a modified version of this formula that basically tries to predict the chance that a …

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KFC’s MLS Fantasy Player Roundup – Conference Finals Leg 2

  How does that saying go? A 7 days without soccer makes one week? Well, there were international friendlies and it was 2 weeks… So I guess that does not work. Regardless, it’s been too long but not long enough to forget about how important both of these game are going to be. For MLS Fantasy managers, you need to …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Conference Finals Leg 2

  Well that International break seemed to fly by didn’t it? But now it’s time to get back to what’s important, MLS Fantasy. This is the penultimate game of the season and I’m sure it’s one that will cause many managers a headache. Last week our ELO system was correct for the RSL game and the SKC game ended in …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Conference Finals Leg 1

  After almost 500 min of soccer, the second leg of the semi finals finally ended, and it was a great leg. Our ELO system predicted 3 of the 4 games correctly and I learned that I should listen to it more myself. The NY game was unexpected, but not too surprising with the defensive handicap they went into the …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Semi Finals Leg 1

  The Wildcard games were easy. Bother Houston and Seattle came away with wins and shutouts. I’m honestly surprised that Seattle did not give up a goal, but I know that all of you with 4 defenders were not. This week, there are two games that could go wither way. In both games the home team has a light edge …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Wildcard Playoff

  Here we are, the first round of the 2013 MLS Cup playoffs. If you missed the games from week 36, I definitely recommend watching some highlights, they were amazing. We successfully predicted 6 of the 10 games, and the 4 we missed were very evenly matched so they could have gone either way. I’ve also included the Power Rankings for …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Week 36

  These are our predictions and power ranks for week 36. There are several games that have close odds, especially PHI v SK which are even at 50-50. In cases like this, we default to the home team, but this final MLS week has a lot on the line for many teams so anything could happen. If you are curious …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Week 35

  These are our predictions and power ranks for week 35. There are a few chances for upsets (especially with the Dallas v Seattle game) but we feel pretty good about them overall. If you are curious about the Elo system, take a look at this article the explains it all. If you want to see more, keep reading after the …

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KFC’s Predictions & Power Rankings – Week 34

  Here is the followup to last weeks Elo ranking article. Also, I’ve included some power rankings based on the Elo numbers. If you are curious about the Elo system, take a look at this article the explains it all. If you want to see more, keep reading after the break.

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The Basics of the KFC Elo Ranking System

  Last week I made the first KFC Gameweek Predictions post.  It was received well and overall the success rate for the 9 week 33 games was: 5 Correct, 1 Wrong, 3 Draws. The system considers a draw half a win so I think it was a respectable showing. One of the questions several people asked was how the rankings …

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