The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in Chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. Since soccer can end in a draw, I’m using a modified version of this formula that tries to predict the chance that a team will come away from a match …

Read More »# Tag Archives: ELO

## Predictions and Power Rankings for Round 2

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in Chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. Since soccer can end in a draw, I’m using a modified version of this formula that tries to predict the chance that a team will come away from a match …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings for Round 1

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in Chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. Since soccer can end in a draw, I’m using a modified version of this formula that tries to predict the chance that a team will come away from a match …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 27

Of the the 12 games that were played in Round 26, there were 6 Wins, 2 Loss, and 2 Draws. Since a draw counts as half a win (because both teams get a point), the system ended with a success rate of 83% for predicting which team would get points out of a game. Here are the MLS Fantasy Boss predictions …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 23

Of the the 9 games that were played in Round 22, there were 7 Wins, 1 Loss, and 1 Draw. Since a draw counts as half a win (because both teams get a point), the system ended with a success rate of 89% for predicting which team would get points out of a game. Here are the MLS Fantasy Boss predictions …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 20

Of the the 13 games that were played in Round 19, there were 8 Wins, 0 Loss, and 5 Draws. Since a draw counts as half a win (because both teams get a point), the system ended with a success rate of 100% for predicting which team would get points out of a game. Here are the MLS Fantasy Boss predictions …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 19

So I missed the last few weeks due to the World Cup so I’ll start over with the recaps after this week and the rises and falls for the MLSFB ELO Power Rankings. Here are the MLS Fantasy Boss predictions for Round 19 and my Power Rankings. How do these match up to your predictions? Let me know …

Read More »## Predictions – World Cup Round of 16

As you all know, I’m a fan of the ELO ranking system. So when the World Cup started, I setup an Excel spreadsheet to help me do the calculations just like I use for MLS. Now that the Group stage is over, I decided to see how I did. Of the the 48 games that were played in …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 13

Of the the 11 games that were played in Round 12, there were 7 Wins, 1 Loss, and 3 Draws. Since a draw counts as half a win (because both teams get a point), the system ended with a success rate of 91% for predicting which team would get points out of a game. Here are the MLS Fantasy Boss predictions …

Read More »## Predictions and Power Rankings – Round 12

Of the the 10 games that were played in Round 11, there were 5 Wins, 2 Loss, and 3 Draws. Since a draw counts as half a win (because both teams get a point), the system ended with a success rate of 80% for predicting which team would get points out of a game. Here are the MLS Fantasy Boss predictions …

Read More »