Behind the Numbers: MLS Fantasy Week 23

Behind the Numbers

Week 22 Review

The Behind the Numbers Team put up 59 points and rose to 271 OR. The total team value continued to rise with an increase up to $118.8 on the season.

What can you say about Week 22, did anyone really have fun? It’s almost crazy how many high scores are on the dream team and how absolutely no one seemed to have them. Gross. No fun. Too much because MLS.

Week 22 Team Value Recap

  • Results of Twitter/Reddit Poll
    • Average Points Scored: 65
    • Average Current Team Value: $119

Week 22 TRUE Dream Team

Here are the rules.

  • only three players per team
  • must be a valid formation
  • must fit in the average budget for that week
  • ties are broken with lowest value player making the team
  • the bench is all 4.0 scrubs

So here’s the Week 22 TRUE Dream Team

Week 23 Team Defense Rankings

Total Budget this Week: Average Budget: $119.0, BTN Budget: $118.8

Goalkeepers

Top Teams

LAFC, CHI, CLB, NYC, POR, FCD, PHI, ATL, TOR, HOU

The Player Pool

Must Haves

  • None

Top Options

  • Steve Clark POR GK $7.60
  • Brad Guzan ATL GK $6.80
  • Tyler Miller LAFC GK $6.50

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

  • Kenneth Kronholm CHI GK $5.90
  • Brad Guzan ATL GK $6.80
  • Jesse Gonzalez DAL GK $7.40

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Brad Guzan ATL GK $6.80
  • Sean Johnson NYC GK $5.40
  • Tyler Miller LAFC GK $6.50

Bargain Bin

  • Sean Johnson NYC GK $5.40
  • Joe Willis HOU GK $5.90
  • Kenneth Kronholm CHI GK $5.90

Defenders

Top Teams

LAFC, CHI, CLB, NYC, POR, FCD, PHI, ATL, TOR, HOU

The Player Pool

Must Haves

  • None

Top Options

  • Jonathan Bornstein CHI DF $6.00
  • Jordan Harvey LAFC DF $6.10
  • Franco Escobar ATL DF $6.60
  • Ryan Hollingshead DAL DF $8.70
  • Auro TOR DF $6.60
  • Jorge Moreira POR DF $8.30

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

  • Jonathan Bornstein CHI DF $6.00
  • Jordan Harvey LAFC DF $6.10
  • Jorge Villafana POR DF $8.00
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez ATL DF $7.50
  • Kai Wagner PHI DF $6.20
  • Reggie Cannon DAL DF $6.20

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Jonathan Bornstein CHI DF $6.00
  • Jordan Harvey LAFC DF $6.10
  • Eddie Segura LAFC DF $5.50
  • Franco Escobar ATL DF $6.60
  • Auro TOR DF $6.60
  • Jack Elliott PHI DF $6.30

Bargain Bin

  • Jonathan Bornstein CHI DF $6.00
  • Eddie Segura LAFC DF $5.50
  • Raymon Gaddis PHI DF $5.00
  • Adam Lundkvist HOU DF $5.90
  • Seth Sinovic SKC DF $5.80
  • Aljaz Struna HOU DF $5.20

 

Week 23 Team Offense Rankings

Week 23 Top 50 Player Projections

*note that Bou (NER) does not yet have enough data to qualify, but Brian Fernandez (POR) finally does!

Note: Player projections extrapolate previous stats and matchup data for the current player and match up assuming that player plays the full 90 (SGW) or 180 (DGW). It does not factor in the probability of a player starting or being rotated during a DGW.

Midfielders

The Player Pool

Top Teams

Must Haves

  • Alexander Ring NYC MF $8.50

Top Options

  • Diego Valeri POR MF $12.00
  • Eduard Atuesta LAFC MF $11.90
  • Nicolas Lodeiro SEA MF $12.30
  • Maximiliano Moralez NYC MF $11.70 — INJURY

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

  • Cristhian Paredes POR MF $6.50
  • Marco Fabian PHI MF $9.40
  • Alexander Ring NYC MF $8.50
  • Jack Price COL MF $7.60
  • Magnus Eriksson SJ MF $10.20
  • Vako SJ MF $9.20

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Memo Rodriguez HOU MF $6.70
  • Nicolas Mezquida COL MF $6.00
  • Ebenezer Ofori NYC MF $5.60
  • Djordje Mihailovic CHI MF $5.50
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski CHI MF $5.80
  • Vako SJ MF $9.20
  • Jack Price COL MF $7.60

Bargain Bin

  • Nicolas Mezquida COL MF $6.00
  • Ebenezer Ofori NYC MF $5.60
  • Cristhian Paredes POR MF $6.50
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski CHI MF $5.80
  • Djordje Mihailovic CHI MF $5.50

Forwards

The Player Pool

Top Teams

Must Haves

  • Heber Araujo dos Santos NYC FW $9.80

Top Options

  • Carlos Vela LAFC FW $13.50
  • Brian Fernandez POR FW $10.60
  • Raul Ruidiaz SEA FW $11.20
  • Mauro Manotas HOU FW $8.50

Price Rise Targets (Form/$) >~ 1.00

  • Jordan Morris SEA FW $9.40
  • Kei Kamara COL FW $7.90
  • Carlos Vela LAFC FW $13.50
  • Andre Shinyashiki COL FW $5.80

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Andre Shinyashiki COL FW $5.80
  • Valentin Castellanos NYC FW $6.50
  • Carlos Vela LAFC FW $13.50
  • Kacper Przybylko PHI FW $7.60

Bargain Bin

  • Andre Shinyashiki COL FW $5.80
  • Valentin Castellanos NYC FW $6.50
  • Nemanja Nikolic CHI FW $6.50
  • C.J. Sapong CHI FW $6.50

2019 Week 23 Behind the Numbers Team

Here’s my first draft of the Behind the Numbers Team based on the discussion above.

If you’d like to follow me on twitter, I’m @MLSFB_BTN. I typically post my updated lineup before the games start to show if my thinking has changed since this column went up.’

Resources for nerding out about MLS Fantasy

  • http://www.mlscheatsheet.com/ — Bonus point data, projections and more
  • https://www.americansocceranalysis.com/asa-xgoals — Interactive xG and passing data
  • https://www.whoscored.com/ — Analytics based player ratings

About Kyle Mcelhinny

Scientist by day, soccer fan by night. Nerd always. Using stats to overcome my lack of knowledge about the beautiful game.

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