Behind the Numbers: MLS Fantasy Week 26

Behind the Numbers

Week 25 Recap

Week 25 continued the struggles to get out of the top 200, with the team falling to 291 overall. While last week wasn’t bad with 151 points, it wasn’t a top week. I’m not sure what’s different about this fall season, but the mobility of my team seems to be stunted in comparison to leagues past. Also, we’ve reached the point in the season where its a grind, so let me know what is keeping you motivated.

Week 25 True Dream Team

Here are the rules.

  • only three players per team
  • must be a valid formation
  • must fit in the average budget for that week
  • ties are broken with lowest value player making the team
  • the bench is all 4.0 scrubs

So here’s the Week 25 TRUE Dream Team

 

Week 26 Team Defense Rankings

Projections provided by @thedummyrun on twitter.

Total Budget this Week: BTN Budget: $121.50

Goalkeepers

Top Teams

MTL, FCD, LAFC, NYC

The Player Pool

Must Haves

  • Evan Bush MTL GK $5.00

Top Options

  • Tyler Miller LAFC GK $7.90
  • Sean Johnson NYC GK $6.50
  • Jesse Gonzalez DAL GK $6.60

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

  • Tyler Miller LAFC GK $7.90
  • Sean Johnson NYC GK $6.50

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Evan Bush MTL GK $5.00

Bargain Bin

  • Evan Bush MTL GK $5.00

Notes

  • In my mind, Evan Bush is a must-have this week. He’s got a double home game, is super cheap, and both MTL games are before the other top options play, making it an easy Keeperoo. Jesse Gonzalez figures to be the backend of my Keeperoo.

Defenders

Top Teams

MTL, FCD, LAFC, NYC, VAN

The Player Pool

Must Haves

  • None

Top Options

  • Eddie Segura LAFC DF $7.00
  • Anton Tinnerholm NYC DF $8.50
  • Reto Ziegler DAL DF $8.60
  • Jordan Harvey LAFC DF $7.20
  • Ryan Hollingshead DAL DF $9.70
  • Ali Adnan VAN DF $7.10

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

  • Maxime Chanot NYC DF $6.40
  • Eddie Segura LAFC DF $7.00
  • Bacary Sagna MTL DF $5.40

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Zachary Brault-Guillard MTL DF $5.40
  • Jukka Raitala MTL DF $4.60
  • Jordan Harvey LAFC DF $7.20
  • Daniel Lovitz MTL DF $4.30

Bargain Bin

  • Zachary Brault-Guillard MTL DF $5.40
  • Jukka Raitala MTL DF $4.60
  • Daniel Lovitz MTL DF $4.30
  • Bacary Sagna MTL DF $5.40

Week 24 Team Offense Rankings

Projections provided by @thedummyrun on twitter.

Week 25 Top 50 Player Projections

Midfielders

The Player Pool

Top Teams

LAFC, NYRB, FCD, SKC, NER, MTL, VAN

Must Haves

  • Saphir Taider MTL MF $11.60

Top Options

  • Carles Gil NE MF $13.20
  • Latif Blessing LAFC MF $9.90
  • Eduard Atuesta LAFC MF $12.20
  • Felipe Gutierrez SKC MF $10.00
  • Daniel Royer NY MF $9.20

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

  • None

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Lassi Lappalainen $8.40
  • Johnny Russell $8.90
  • Lass Bangoura $5.70

Bargain Bin

  • Lass Bangoura VAN MF $5.70
  • Benny Feilhaber SKC MF $6.70
  • Luis Alberto Caicedo NE MF $6.10
  • Russell Teibert VAN MF $6.00
  • Ballou Tabla MTL MF $6.20

Forwards

The Player Pool

Top Teams

  • LAFC, NYRB, FCD, SKC, NER, MTL, VAN

Must Haves

  • Carlos Vela LAFC FW $15.00

Top Options

  • Diego Rossi LAFC FW $9.80
  • Gustavo Bou NE FW $10.90

Price Rise Targets (Form/$) >~ 1.00

  • Theo Bair VAN FW $4.30

Value Players (PP90/$)

  • Anthony Jackson-Hamel MTL FW $5.00
  • Joaquin Ardaiz VAN FW $4.10
  • Harry Novillo MTL FW $6.30

2019 Week 24 Behind the Numbers Team

Here’s my first draft of the Behind the Numbers Team based on the discussion above. I’m gonna be honest guys, there’s not much correlation between the stats this week and the choices I wanted to make.

If you’d like to follow me on twitter, I’m @MLSFB_BTN. I typically post my updated lineup before the games start to show if my thinking has changed since this column went up.’

Resources for nerding out about MLS Fantasy

  • http://www.mlscheatsheet.com/ — Bonus point data, projections and more
  • https://www.americansocceranalysis.com/asa-xgoals — Interactive xG and passing data
  • https://www.whoscored.com/ — Analytics based player ratings

About Kyle Mcelhinny

Scientist by day, soccer fan by night. Nerd always. Using stats to overcome my lack of knowledge about the beautiful game.

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