Behind the Numbers: MLS Fantasy Week 27

Behind the Numbers

Week 26 Recap

 

Week 26 True Dream Team

Here are the rules.

  • only three players per team
  • must be a valid formation
  • must fit in the average budget for that week
  • ties are broken with lowest value player making the team
  • the bench is all 4.0 scrubs

So here’s the Week 26 TRUE Dream Team

Week 27 Team Defense Rankings

Projections provided by @thedummyrun on twitter.

Total Budget this Week: BTN Budget: $121.70

Goalkeepers

Top Teams

NYC, LAFC, TOR, POR

The Player Pool

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Tyler Miller LAFC GK $7.90
Steve Clark POR GK $7.40
Brad Stuver NYCFC GK $4.90

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

Tyler Miller LAFC GK $7.90
Brian Rowe ORL GK $7.30

Value Players (PP90/$)

Brad Stuver NYCFC GK $4.90

Bargain Bin

Brad Stuver NYCFC GK $4.90

Notes

In my mind, it’s gonna hard to pass on a Stuver at $4.90. Especially with the rest of the team remaining mostly unaffected by international call ups. He’s also the first game so great in a Keeperoo.

Defenders

Top Teams

NYC, LAFC, TOR, POR

The Player Pool

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Jorge Moreira POR DF $8.90
Auro TOR DF $7.90
Anton Tinnerholm NYC DF $8.50
Eddie Segura LAFC DF $7.40

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

Graham Smith SKC DF $6.00
Kelvin Leerdam SEA DF $5.00
Tommy Smith COL DF $4.70

Value Players (PP90/$)

Graham Smith SKC DF $6.00
Kelvin Leerdam SEA DF $5.00
Jordan Harvey LAFC DF $6.80

Bargain Bin

Nick Hagglund CIN DF $4.00
Tommy Smith COL DF $4.70
Bill Tuiloma POR DF $4.90
Justin Morrow TOR DF $4.80
Chris Mavinga TOR DF $5.10

Week 27 Team Offense Rankings

Projections provided by @thedummyrun on twitter.

Week 27 Top 50 Player Projections

Midfielders

The Player Pool

Top Teams

NYC, COL, POR, LAFC, SEA

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Maximiliano Moralez NYC MF $12.10
Diego Valeri POR MF $13.10
Alejandro Pozuelo TOR MF $9.60
Carles Gil NE MF $12.70
Nicolas Lodeiro SEA MF $12.70

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

Maximiliano Moralez NYC MF $12.10
Juan Agudelo NE MF $5.90
Harry Shipp SEA MF $6.20

Value Players (PP90/$)

Johnathan Lewis COL MF $7.40
Harry Shipp SEA MF $6.20

Bargain Bin

Chris Mueller ORL MF $5.40

Forwards

The Player Pool

Top Teams

NYC, COL, POR, LAFC, SEA

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Carlos Vela – INJURY
LAFC FW $15.00
Valentin Castellanos NYC FW $7.60
Jozy Altidore – INJURY TOR FW $10.20
Brian Fernandez POR FW $9.80
Gustavo Bou NE FW $11.20

Price Rise Targets (Form/$) >~ 1.00

Carlos Vela
LAFC FW $15.00
Valentin Castellanos NYC FW $7.60
Andre Shinyashiki COL FW $5.80

Value Players (PP90/$)

Valentin Castellanos NYC FW $7.60
Andre Shinyashiki COL FW $5.80

2019 Week 27 Behind the Numbers Team

Here’s my first draft of the Behind the Numbers Team based on the discussion above. I’m gonna be honest guys, there’s not much correlation between the stats this week and the choices I wanted to make.

If you’d like to follow me on twitter, I’m @MLSFB_BTN. I typically post my updated lineup before the games start to show if my thinking has changed since this column went up.’

Resources for nerding out about MLS Fantasy

  • http://www.mlscheatsheet.com/ — Bonus point data, projections and more
  • https://www.americansocceranalysis.com/asa-xgoals — Interactive xG and passing data
  • https://www.whoscored.com/ — Analytics based player ratings

About Kyle Mcelhinny

Scientist by day, soccer fan by night. Nerd always. Using stats to overcome my lack of knowledge about the beautiful game.

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