Behind the Numbers: MLS Fantasy Week 30

Behind the Numbers

Week 29 Recap

It was a pretty good week for the BTN team, but the gains were modest at best. The BTN team put up 126 points and raised up to 319 overall. Looks like I’ll be setting my goal to maybe hit top 250 by the end of the season. The last big DGW should keep it interesting. Time to have some fun the last couple weeks.

Week 29 True Dream Team

Here are the rules.

  • only three players per team
  • must be a valid formation
  • must fit in the average budget for that week
  • ties are broken with lowest value player making the team
  • the bench is all 4.0 scrubs

So here’s the Week 28 TRUE Dream Team

Week 30 Team Defense Rankings

 

Projections provided by @thedummyrun on twitter.

Total Budget this Week: BTN Budget: $124.9

Goalkeepers

Top Teams

RSL, LAFC, LAG, NYC, SJE, MIN

The Player Pool

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Vito Mannone MIN GK $8.80
Brad Guzan ATL GK $7.80
Steve Clark POR GK $8.40
David Bingham LA GK $6.80

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

David Bingham LA GK $6.80
Brad Guzan ATL GK $7.80
Vito Mannone MIN GK $8.80

Value Players (PP90/$)

None

Notes

Defenders

Top Teams

RSL, LAFC, LAG, NY, SJE, MIN

The Player Pool

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Romain Metanire MIN DF $9.20
Jorge Moreira POR DF $9.70
Aaron Herrera RSL DF $7.80
Ike Opara MIN DF $8.60
Tommy Thompson SJ DF $7.20
Nedum Onuoha RSL DF $7.60
Eddie Segura LAFC DF $7.00

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

Daniel Steres
LA DF $5.00
Franco Escobar ATL DF $7.20
Tommy Thompson SJ DF $7.20
Aaron Herrera RSL DF $7.80
Graham Smith SKC DF $6.30
Romain Metanire MIN DF $9.20

Value Players (PP90/$)

Daniel Steres
LA DF $5.00
Graham Smith SKC DF $6.30
Brooks Lennon RSL DF $5.80
Nick Lima SJ DF $4.70
Franco Escobar ATL DF $7.20

Notes

Week 30 Team Offense Rankings

Projections provided by @thedummyrun on twitter.

Week 30 Top 50 Player Projections

Midfielders

The Player Pool

Top Teams

LAFC, SJE, POR, LAG, NYC, MIN, RSL

Must Haves

None

Top Options

Maximiliano Moralez NYC MF $11.80
Kevin Molino MIN MF $8.10
Diego Valeri POR MF $13.00
Vako SJ MF $9.40
Eduard Atuesta LAFC MF $10.80
Jamiro Monteiro PHI MF $8.90
Magnus Eriksson SJ MF $10.80
Albert Rusnak RSL MF $11.00
Jonathan dos Santos LA MF $9.00

Price Rise Targets (Form/$ >~ 1.00)

Jamiro Monteiro PHI MF $8.90
Vako SJ MF $9.40
Julian Gressel ATL MF $9.20
Maximiliano Moralez NYC MF $11.80
Uriel Antuna LA MF $6.30

Value Players (PP90/$)

Kevin Molino MIN MF $8.10
Jamiro Monteiro PHI MF $8.90
Johnny Russell SKC MF $9.10
Vako SJ MF $9.40

Notes

Forwards

The Player Pool

Top Teams

LAFC, SJE, POR, LAG, NYC, MIN, RSL

Must Haves

Carlos Vela LAFC FW $15.70
Zlatan Ibrahimovic LA FW $13.30

Top Options

Carlos Vela LAFC FW $15.70
Zlatan Ibrahimovic LA FW $13.30
Brian Fernandez POR FW $9.10
Carlos Darwin Quintero MIN FW $9.00

Price Rise Targets (Form/$) >~ 1.00

Carlos Vela LAFC FW $15.70

Value Players (PP90/$)

Danny Hoesen SJ FW $4.50
Krisztian Nemeth SKC FW $5.00
Angelo Rodriguez MIN FW $5.50
Alberth Elis HOU FW $8.10
Corey Baird RSL FW $4.90

Notes

2019 Week 30 Behind the Numbers Team

If you’d like to follow me on twitter, I’m @MLSFB_BTN. I typically post my updated lineup before the games start to show if my thinking has changed since this column went up.’

Resources for nerding out about MLS Fantasy

  • http://www.mlscheatsheet.com/ — Bonus point data, projections and more
  • https://www.americansocceranalysis.com/asa-xgoals — Interactive xG and passing data
  • https://www.whoscored.com/ — Analytics based player ratings

About Kyle Mcelhinny

Scientist by day, soccer fan by night. Nerd always. Using stats to overcome my lack of knowledge about the beautiful game.

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