Fantasy Stats

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in Chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. Since soccer can end in a draw, I’m using a modified version of this formula that tries to predict the chance that a team will come away from a match …

The dreaded double game week rotation struck again in week 8. We all know that we can’t always count a DGW player by simply doubling their expected output because there’s a good chance they’ll get rested. About 30% of starters are rotated in a DGW. During a regular game week, it is about 12.5% of players who get rotated. So …

Here are the Form Difficulty Charts for Round 9 of the 2016 MLS Fantasy season and form breakdown for Home and Away games from 2015 plus the first games of 2016. If you’re not familiar with these charts, I’ll explain below. One early warning, since these charts are based on team form, the accuracy may be off some until more games have been …

The following predictions are based on the ELO ranking system. This system was first used in Chess to calculate the skill level of players and predict the most likely winner. Since soccer can end in a draw, I’m using a modified version of this formula that tries to predict the chance that a team will come away from a match …

Did you ever wonder what you could do with a team if you used a Wild Card every week? In Best XI at $120m, we will explore the options available to brand new players as well as those using a Wild Card as we predict the rounds Dream Team. Along with the best players by round matchup, players with the …

Every now and then real life comes up and demands our attention, and that’s exactly what happened to Andrew this week. Don’t worry, it’s nothing bad.  He’s getting the chance to indulge his passion for soccer and I think we can all agree that we think that’s awesome! Fortunately for us, he was still able to assemble some statistical tidbits …

Here are the Form Difficulty Charts for Round 8 of the 2016 MLS Fantasy season and form breakdown for Home and Away games from 2015 plus the first games of 2016. If you’re not familiar with these charts, I’ll explain below. One early warning, since these charts are based on team form, the accuracy may be off some until more games have been …

I still believe in New York Red Bull’s ability to get it done for us in fantasy. A lot of people have jumped ship and set it on fire so they aren’t tempted to try to get back aboard. I understand it and it makes sense to drop them for DGW players through this stretch. But NYRB could break out …

Here are the Form Difficulty Charts for Round 7 of the 2016 MLS Fantasy season and form breakdown for Home and Away games from 2015 plus the first games of 2016. If you’re not familiar with these charts, I’ll explain below. One early warning, since these charts are based on team form, the accuracy may be off some until more games have been …

Pace of play is a huge area of focus for me as a coach. It is an area that can define teams on both sides of the ball. We know that LA tend to have longer build-ups than, say, Vancouver. We know that both New York teams are trying to win the ball back as quickly as possible. But how …